BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Wrestling

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Fort Madison

Class: 3A Class Rank: 16 Conference: (5-0-0) Overall: (12-3-0) Overall Strength =   95.20

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/29/2011 Home    W   109.74  52  18   EX  39 ( 1- 1) Quincy IL              15.05     18.95                      
  2 12/06/2011 Away    W    91.95  62  18   3A  57 ( 1-14) Muscatine              -2.74 *   46.74                      
  3 12/06/2011 Home    L    74.72  25  43   2A  17 (24- 2) Mediapolis            -19.98      1.98                      
  4 12/15/2011 Home    W *  90.66  39  30   3A  28 ( 7- 6) Mount Pleasant         -4.04     13.04                      
  5 12/15/2011 Home    W    82.68  67  12   EX  84 ( 0- 2) Warsaw West Hancock   -12.02 *   67.02                      
  6 01/05/2012 Away    W * 121.11  42  10   2A  27 (19- 3) Washington             26.42      5.58                      
  7 01/07/2012 Neutral W    82.88  35  34   2A  31 ( 8- 8) Central Clinton       -11.81     12.81                      
  8 01/07/2012 Away    L    93.09  28  42   3A  11 (20- 6) Eldridge North Scott   -1.60    -12.40                      
  9 01/07/2012 Away    W   112.55  45  16   3A  34 ( 6- 8) Davenport West         17.86     11.14                      
 10 01/07/2012 Neutral W   101.27  49  27   3A  35 (10-17) Iowa City High          6.58     15.42                      
 11 01/12/2012 Unknown W *  94.11  47  22   2A  42 ( 4- 6) Fairfield              -0.58     25.58                      
 12 01/16/2012 Home    W *  92.57  47  22   2A  42 ( 4- 6) Fairfield              -2.13     27.13                      
 13 01/19/2012 Away    W *  86.88  42  30   3A  38 ( 8-11) Keokuk                 -7.82     19.82                      
 14 01/24/2012 Unknown L    82.84  25  49   EX  12 ( 4- 0) Kirksville MO         -11.85    -12.15                      
 15 01/24/2012 Away    W   103.37  61  16   2A  66 ( 8-14) Centerville             8.68 *   36.32                      
      Averages              94.70  44.4 25.9

Best game:  121.11 = 32 point win over Washington
Worst game:  74.72 = 18 point loss to Mediapolis
Team stdev:  12.75